Match Info

Alagoano - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Murici

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.6	6.75
	1.45	3.65	6.9
	1.45	3.75	7.28	Watch
	1.44	3.4	7
	1.54	3.65	6.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	3.61 ↓ (3.8)	6.94 ↓ (7.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
61.8%

Draw
25.1%

Murici
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

24.1%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

22.4%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Murici has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murici than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Murici Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ASA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cris (G) 9. Alex Bruno 8. Allef 16. Arthurzinho 4. Cristian Lucca (C) 5. Fabio Aguiar 29. Gustavo Ramos 10. Higor Leite 19. Leo Carvalho 22. Paulinho 26. Sammuel	1. Robert (G) 4. Alex Moreira 2. Alex Murici 11. Caio Vinicius 6. Caique 8. Ewerton Ageu 5. Koffi P. 16. Leo Itaperuna 3. Leo Reis 10. Marcelinho 7. Wesley

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Alex Bruno ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Higor Leite ⚽,
39', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Jailson ⚽,
73', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Alagoano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Alagoano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 2.

ASA has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Murici's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, ASA is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that ASA will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, ASA won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
14.02.26	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Penedense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
04.02.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Zumbi	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
31.01.26	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
28.01.26	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWW
- Murici FC
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
14.02.26	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Murici - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
04.02.26	Penedense - Murici	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
01.02.26	Penedense - Murici	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
28.01.26	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
14.02.26	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
28.01.26	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
10.01.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Murici	0:0
26.01.25	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:3
24.02.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Murici	2:2
18.03.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Murici	1:0
12.03.23	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:1

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Murici: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide