Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	Murom		Metallurg Lipetsk

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.02	3.33
	2.08	2.90	3.30
	2.06	3.00	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.89)	2.97 ↓ (3.4)	3.4 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murom
43.3%

Draw
30.2%

Metallurg Lipetsk
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

27.4%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.5%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murom's form might have worsened.

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murom than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Murom - Metallurg Lipetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Metallurg Lipetsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Murom is the team to beat.

We predict that Murom will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Murom won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Murom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
02.08.26	Murom - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Murom	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Spartak 2 Moscow - Murom	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Volga Tver - Murom	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Murom - Iskra Smolensk	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWLW
- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Rotor 2 - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:3 ✺
25.07.26	Kvant Obninsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Oryol - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 3	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
02.11.24	Murom - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:1
08.09.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Murom	2:3
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.06.24	Murom - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1

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