Match Info

FNL - Round 10

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Referee: Garafutdinov K. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ufa		Veles Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.61	2.91	3.26
	2.6	2.75	3.25
	2.44	2.89	3.19	Watch
	2.26	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.34)	2.86 ↓ (3.01)	3.18 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
37.8%

Draw
32.7%

Veles Moscow
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

31.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

31.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Veles Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Ufa - Veles Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belenov A. (C) 2. Cherov V. 5. Kutin D. 14. Agapov I. 7. Davlitgereev A. 6. Tarba Z. 8. Isaev S. 88. Ageyan M. 10. Gongadze G. 11. Yakuev M. 70. Ortiz D.	76. Kuptsov I. (G) 77. Smirnov O. 5. Koloskov A. 3. Volkov V. 23. Skvortsov K. 97. Shubin A. 22. Zavezen Y. (C) 90. Galkin V. 10. Bammatgereev M. 11. Korolkov K. 8. Tarasenko Z.
Substitutes
23. Akhatov D. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 69. Khanenko I. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 9. Lipovoy D. 48. Lukyanov A. 19. Mayorov E. 17. Ozmanov D. 97. Polesovshchikov A. 20. Shipunov T.	40. Bezchasnyuk A. 9. Giraev K. 94. Kuchugura D. 6. Melikov I. 7. Murza A. 87. Nikin I. 80. Rybalko M. 88. Sadov D. 41. Samok S. (G) 18. Sergeev D. 70. Zakharzhevskiy M.
Coaches
Tetradze O.	Stukalov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Gongadze G. ⚽,
9', Smirnov O. 🟨,
20', Yakuev M. 🟨,
23', Zavezen Y. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Koloskov A. ⚽,
40', Smirnov O. 🟨,
41', Gongadze G. 🟨,
42', Galkin V. ↓, Rybalko M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bammatgereev M. ↓, Bezchasnyuk A. ↑,
57', Korolkov K. ↓, Murza A. ↑,
61', Ageyan M. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
62', Tarasenko Z. 🟨,
63', Tarba Z. 🟨,
67', Shubin A. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Skvortsov K. ↓, Melikov I. ↑,
77', Tarasenko Z. ↓, Giraev K. ↑,
80', Yakuev M. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
80', Davlitgereev A. ↓, Gilyazetdinov A. ↑,
89', Murza A. 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In recent matches, Ufa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Veles is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ufa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ufa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Veles Moscow: 0.92% Ufa: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Veles Moscow	13	7	2	4	17:16	1	23
7	Ufa	12	4	6	2	16:13	3	18

Last Results with these Odds

Ufa - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.16%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Veles Moscow - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.64%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
28.08.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ufa	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Ufa - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:1 ✺
17.08.26	Spartak Kostroma - Ufa	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Ural - Ufa	3:0 ✺
03.08.26	Ufa - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWTLT
- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL
29.08.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Veles Moscow	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	Veles Moscow - Arsenal Tula	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Veles Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Veles Moscow	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Veles Moscow - Leningradets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
30.03.24	Ufa - Veles Moscow	2:0
01.10.23	Ufa - Veles Moscow	2:0
Russian FNL
05.03.23	Ufa - Veles Moscow	4:1
13.08.22	Veles Moscow - Ufa	0:2
Club Friendly
12.06.21	Ufa - Veles Moscow	0:2

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