Match Info

FNL - Round 8

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo)

Referee: Matveev Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Veles Moscow		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	2.71	3.26	2.72
	2.65	3.20	2.65
	2.71	3.16	2.61	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.06)	3.14 ↑ (3.12)	2.63 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Veles Moscow
35%

Draw
29.6%

Arsenal Tula
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

30.2%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

30.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veles Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Veles Moscow - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Kuptsov I. (G) 5. Koloskov A. 3. Volkov V. 23. Skvortsov K. 10. Bammatgereev M. 97. Shubin A. 22. Zavezen Y. 77. Smirnov O. 90. Galkin V. 11. Korolkov K. 8. Tarasenko Z.	42. Melikhov A. (G) 5. Krashevskiy Y. 45. Karmaev N. 82. Alekhin A. 44. Isaenko O. 21. Razdorskikh N. 35. Enin I. 19. Glushkov N. 9. Davidyan D. 7. Tamarindo 23. Melekestsev T.
Substitutes
40. Bezchasnyuk A. 9. Giraev K. 94. Kuchugura D. 6. Melikov I. 7. Murza A. 87. Nikin I. 80. Rybalko M. 88. Sadov D. 41. Samok S. (G) 21. Sapozhnikov I. 18. Sergeev D. 70. Zakharzhevskiy M.	25. Biryukov A. 14. Brnovic M. 24. Gotsuk K. 36. Levashov M. (G) 11. Magomedov R. 8. Shamkin D. 18. Tsulaya M. (G) 22. Uridia G. 75. Zhamaletdinov T. 10. Zhigulev I.
Coaches
Stukalov A.	Gunko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Korolkov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Davidyan D. ↓, Magomedov R. ↑,
46', Enin I. ↓, Brnovic M. ↑,
63', Galkin V. ↓, Murza A. ↑,
63', Bammatgereev M. ↓, Nikin I. ↑,
74', Koloskov A. 🟨,
76', Melekestsev T. ↓, Biryukov A. ↑,
76', Korolkov K. ↓, Kuchugura D. ↑,
76', Shubin A. ↓, Sergeev D. ↑,
79', Krashevskiy Y. ↓, Gotsuk K. ↑,
79', Glushkov N. ↓, Zhamaletdinov T. ↑,
81', Zavezen Y. ↓, Rybalko M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Kuchugura D. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Veles won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Veles won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Veles Moscow: 0.92% Arsenal Tula: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Veles Moscow	13	7	2	4	17:16	1	23
12	Arsenal Tula	12	3	4	5	12:22	-10	13

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal Tula - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.05%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL
19.08.26	Veles Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Veles Moscow	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Veles Moscow - Leningradets	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Veles Moscow - Rotor	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Veles Moscow	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWL
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
20.08.26	Arsenal Tula - Rotor	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Leningradets - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Sochi - Arsenal Tula	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
06.05.23	Arsenal Tula - Veles Moscow	1:1
16.10.22	Veles Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:0
Russian Cup
27.10.21	Veles Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:2 penalties

Upcoming Matches