Match Info

Date: 8 April 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Mushuc Runa		Olmedo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.57	3.6	5.4
	1.58	3.7	5
	1.6	3.91	5.89
	1.57	3.5	5.8
	1.62	3.98	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.66)	3.7 ↑ (3.65)	5.41 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mushuc Runa
58%

Draw
24.9%

Olmedo
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.1%

25.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

16.3%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Olmedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mushuc Runa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olmedo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olmedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	19.2%	19.2%

Mushuc Runa - Olmedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Olmedo will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mushuc Runa: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 16).

Recent matches Mushuc Runa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olmedo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Mushuc Runa is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mushuc Runa won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Mushuc Runa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.04.21	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
20.03.21	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	Mushuc Runa - Manta	4:2 ✺
05.03.21	Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa	2:0 ✺
28.02.21	9 de Octubre - Mushuc Runa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TTWLW
- CD Olmedo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.04.21	Olmedo - Emelec	2:3 ✺
19.03.21	Técnico Universitario - Olmedo	0:0 ✺
14.03.21	9 de Octubre - Olmedo	2:0 ✺
07.03.21	Olmedo - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
28.02.21	Olmedo - LDU Quito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.11.20	Mushuc Runa - Olmedo	1:1
23.08.20	Olmedo - Mushuc Runa	1:2
27.10.19	Mushuc Runa - Olmedo	1:4
19.05.19	Olmedo - Mushuc Runa	1:1
06.12.14	Mushuc Runa - Olmedo	1:1
17.08.14	Olmedo - Mushuc Runa	1:2
26.04.14	Olmedo - Mushuc Runa	2:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.11.26	Mushuc Runa - Manta	✺

Mushuc Runa - Olmedo