Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 28

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	LDU Quito		Mushuc Runa

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.70	5.25	Watch
	1.52	3.75	5.25
	1.58	4.00	5.20	Watch
	1.58	4.06	5.86
	1.68	3.75	4.93	Watch
	1.55	4.00	5.75
	1.59	3.80	5.67	Watch
	1.53	3.80	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)	3.86 ↓ (4)	5.41 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
58.9%

Draw
24%

Mushuc Runa
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

23.1%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valle G. (G) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 4. Ade R. (C) 67. Carabali J. 57. Weigandt M. 20. Cornejo F. 8. Pretell J. 5. Gonzalez Baquero S. 23. Quinonez Y. 11. Estrada M. 15. Villamil G.	25. Formento R. (C) 99. Angulo C. 4. Biojo R. 50. Cusme J. 33. Hernandez J. 7. Minda T. 5. Davila E. 8. Zambrano A. 28. Perea M. 30. Ibarra R. 11. Bazan N.
Substitutes
10. Alvarado A. 28. Cuero Mercado J. W. 16. Deyverson 22. Dominguez A. (G) 99. Luna Tobar C. 3. Mina R. 27. Mina R. 33. Quinonez L. 31. Rodriguez J. 7. Rodriguez L. 44. Segovia L. 26. Zambrano I.	14. Caicedo E. 61. Caicedo J. 12. Carabali F. 56. Castillo E. 19. Corozo B. 2. Flor F. 18. Gonzalez J. 23. Lemos L. 10. Mina F. 42. Pabon W. (G) 26. Peralta K. 9. Tufino R.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Velez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Carabali J. 🟨,
18', Weigandt M. 🟨,
28', Zambrano A. 🟨,
34', Angulo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Weigandt M. ↓, Cuero Mercado J. W. ↑,
46', Villamil G. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
79', Bazan N. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
81', Cuero Mercado J. W. 🟨,
81', Gonzalez Baquero S. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
83', Formento R. 🟨,
85', Perea M. ↓, Mina F. ↑,
88', Angulo C. ↓, Peralta K. ↑,
88', Ibarra R. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
89', Corozo B. 🟨,
90+5', Cuero Mercado J. W. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, LDU Quito is a strong favorite.

We predict that LDU Quito will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	LDU Quito	31	14	7	10	33:25	8	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.08.26	Guayaquil City - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
26.08.26	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.08.26	LDU Quito - Emelec	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.26	LDU Quito - Mirassol	1:0 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.08.26	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW
- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.08.26	Mushuc Runa - Delfín	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
10.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Manta - Mushuc Runa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.05.26	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	1:3
03.08.25	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	2:1
14.04.25	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	1:0
26.10.24	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	1:1
04.05.24	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	0:1
02.12.23	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	3:1
17.06.23	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	2:2

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