Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 8

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Mushuc Runa		Manta

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.05	6.1	Watch
	1.48	4.15	7.19
	1.46	4.28	6.79	Watch
	1.44	3.7	5.75
	1.5	3.96	6.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	4.01 ↑ (4)	6.49 ↑ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mushuc Runa
62.8%

Draw
23%

Manta
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Mushuc Runa - Manta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Formento R. (C) 26. Peralta K. 12. Carabali F. 2. Flor F. 33. Hernandez J. 99. Angulo C. 5. Davila E. 23. Lemos L. 77. Velasco K. 32. Orejuela C. 9. Carrillo R.	12. Zambrano F. (G) 23. Medina A. 16. Quintero D. 24. Moscarelli O. 20. Chala J. 21. Ortiz M. (C) 18. Beltramone E. 6. Jimenez J. 5. Ramirez B. 11. Asagidigbi F. 9. Blanco J.
Substitutes
14. Caicedo E. 19. Carcelen J. 50. Cusme J. 11. Dibble N. 18. Gonzalez J. 30. Ibarra R. 37. Mancilla Quinones J. L. 7. Minda T. 42. Pabon W. (G) 17. Pico O. 8. Zambrano A.	19. Alman J. 17. Angulo J. 7. Cabezas D. 1. Chavez W. (G) 70. Nazareno J. 4. Nazareno J. 52. Rialpe J. 8. Valencia M.
Coaches
Velez P.	Carvajal Burgos J. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Jimenez J. 🟨,
19', Carabali F. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Davila E. ⚽,
31', Lemos L. 🟥,
45', Asagidigbi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Orejuela C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
53', Angulo C. 🟨,
54', Ortiz M. 🟨,
64', Carrillo R. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
65', Ramirez B. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
65', Chala J. 🟨,
73', Asagidigbi F. ↓, Alman J. ↑,
73', Beltramone E. ↓, Burbano S. ↑,
74', Angulo C. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
80', Moscarelli O. 🟨,
81', Jimenez J. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
81', Chala J. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
90+5', Velasco K. ↓, Minda T. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.

Mushuc Runa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Manta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mushuc Runa is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.04.26	Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Emelec	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Orense - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLTL
- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.04.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	LDU Quito - Manta	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Manta - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Delfín - Manta	0:1 ✺
09.03.26	Orense - Manta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.11.25	Manta - Mushuc Runa	3:0
25.10.25	Mushuc Runa - Manta	1:1
30.08.25	Mushuc Runa - Manta	2:0
10.05.25	Manta - Mushuc Runa	2:1
15.08.21	Manta - Mushuc Runa	0:0
14.03.21	Mushuc Runa - Manta	4:2
30.11.14	Manta - Mushuc Runa	3:0

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