Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 4

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Mushuc Runa		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.3	3	2.85
	2.38	3.05	2.92
	2.43	2.99	3.43
	2.35	3.03	3.25	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.39	2.88	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.39)	2.98 (2.98)	3.09 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mushuc Runa
39.2%

Draw
30.9%

Deportivo Macará
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.3%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Macará (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Macará (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Formento R. (C) 26. Peralta K. 12. Carabali F. 2. Flor F. 33. Hernandez J. 77. Velasco K. 5. Davila E. 23. Lemos L. 11. Dibble N. 9. Carrillo R. 10. Mina F.	1. Rodriguez R. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 16. Cazares J. 20. Viera M. 15. Tello M. 8. Blanc G. 7. Paz F. 9. Posse F.
Substitutes
14. Caicedo E. 19. Carcelen J. 22. Collaguazo J. (G) 50. Cusme J. 18. Gonzalez J. 37. Mancilla Quinones J. L. 52. Merino D. 7. Minda T. 42. Pabon W. (G) 17. Pico O. 8. Zambrano A.	50. Caicedo C. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 5. Estacio J. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 26. Medranda M. 10. Miranda M. 27. Mohor J. 17. Zambrano J.
Coaches
Velez P.	Sanguinetti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Carrillo R. 🟨,
42', Davila E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Dibble N. 🟨,
58', Tello M. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
58', Dibble N. ↓, Minda T. ↑,
65', Blanc G. 🟨,
68', Cazares J. 🟨,
69', Espinoza J. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
70', Viera M. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
80', Mina F. ↓, Carcelen J. ↑,
80', Lemos L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
85', Blanc G. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
85', Posse F. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
89', Carrillo R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
89', Davila E. ↓, Pico O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 2.

Macará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	43:34	9	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.03.26	Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTTW
- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Orense - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.03.26	LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Deportivo Macará - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.26	Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.08.25	Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa	2:1
03.05.25	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	4:3
03.11.24	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	2:1
11.05.24	Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa	0:0
04.09.22	Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa	3:0
21.04.22	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	0:0
20.08.21	Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa	1:1

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