Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Mutilvera		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	5	3.3	1.63
	5	3.5	1.66
	5.17	3.47	1.67
	5.17	3.47	1.68
	5.15	3.42	1.65
	4.9	3.35	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↑ (4.17)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	1.66 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mutilvera
18.1%

Draw
26.8%

Barakaldo
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

28.9%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

28%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barakaldo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Mutilvera - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Mutilvera is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barakaldo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mutilvera won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mutilvera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.12.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Mutilvera	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Mutilvera - San Juan	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Mutilvera - Utebo	0:3 ✺
26.11.23	Zaragoza B - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Mutilvera - Alavés B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLLL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.12.23	Barakaldo - Zaragoza B	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Alavés B - Barakaldo	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Barakaldo - Egüés	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Izarra - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Barakaldo - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.05.21	Barakaldo - Mutilvera	1:1
11.04.21	Mutilvera - Barakaldo	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.09.18	Barakaldo - Mutilvera	1:2 penalties

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