Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Izarra		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.4	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.89	3.2	2.11
	3.89	3.11	2.03
	3.62	3.15	1.97
	3.4	3.2	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.19)	3.16 ↑ (2.9)	2.04 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izarra
25.7%

Draw
29.1%

Barakaldo
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

31.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

30%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-3%)

Izarra - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Izarra won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Barakaldo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barakaldo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Izarra won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Izarra won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Izarra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.11.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Izarra	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Izarra - San Juan	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Mutilvera - Izarra	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Izarra - Zaragoza B	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	Alavés B - Izarra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.11.23	Barakaldo - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Barakaldo - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Barakaldo - Málaga	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.10.23	Brea - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.05.21	Barakaldo - Izarra	1:1
25.04.21	Izarra - Barakaldo	3:0
26.01.20	Izarra - Barakaldo	1:0
08.09.19	Barakaldo - Izarra	1:2
17.02.19	Barakaldo - Izarra	1:0
30.09.18	Izarra - Barakaldo	0:1
25.03.18	Barakaldo - Izarra	5:0

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