Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Mutilvera		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.49	Watch
				Watch
	5.9	3.7	1.55
	25.00	16.86	1.00	Watch
	5.87	3.9	1.56	Watch
	6.8	4.3	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.91 ↑ (7.22)	6.57 ↑ (4.23)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mutilvera
10.5%

Draw
15.8%

Zaragoza
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

21.8%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

21.1%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zaragoza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zaragoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Mutilvera - Zaragoza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Zaragoza will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ojer M. (G) 24. Murillo J. 14. Biesa B. 5. Morte I. 3. Goni E. 11. Roncal A. 7. Banzo S. 18. Aranguren A. 6. Teres H. 10. Bujanda D. 8. Telletxea I.	1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 36. Furtado A. 22. Kosa S. 15. Pomares C. 31. Pinilla H. 33. Saidu Y. 8. Moya T. 17. Moyano F. 11. Bazdar S. 19. Kodro K.
Substitutes
16. Ardanaz U. 23. Arocena A. 15. Ciaurriz V. 13. Fraga A. (G) 12. Galhardo T. 9. Goikoetxea X. 21. Goni X. 2. Gonzalez I. 4. Grande P. 17. Martinez I. 20. Roldan X.	20. Aguirregabiria M. 12. Bakis S. 32. Barrachina H. 23. Cuenca M. A. 14. Francho 9. Gomez D. 10. Guti R. 4. Insua P. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 29. Sans P. 7. Soberon M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Roncal A. (Own goal),
25', 0 - 2, Sebastian J. ⚽, Bazdar S. (A),
28', Goni E. 🟨,
45+1', Roncal A. 🟨,
45+1', Moyano F. 🟨,
45+2', Bazdar S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bazdar S. ↓, Bakis S. ↑,
46', Sebastian J. ↓, Barrachina H. ↑,
46', Pomares C. ↓, Aguirregabiria M. ↑,
55', Pinilla H. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
60', Barrachina H. 🟨,
70', Banzo S. ↓, Goni X. ↑,
70', Bujanda D. ↓, Arocena A. ↑,
71', Kosa S. ↓, Insua P. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Kodro K. ⚽, Aguirregabiria M. (A),
79', Telletxea I. ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
79', Goni E. ↓, Galhardo T. ↑,
86', Biesa B. 🟨,
87', Teres H. ↓, Goikoetxea X. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Goni X. (Pen),

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Zaragoza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zaragoza is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.10.25	Mutilvera - Beasain	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ebro - Mutilvera	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Mutilvera - Náxara	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Tudelano - Mutilvera	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Mutilvera - UD Logroñés	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLLL
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Zaragoza - Leonesa	0:5 ✺
11.10.25	Almería - Zaragoza	4:2 ✺
05.10.25	Zaragoza - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Mirandés - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW

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