Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Ecuador	DSports 6
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
Uruguay	DSports 6


	Sporting de Gijón		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.45	4.95	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.79
	1.91	3.52	4.01	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.91)	3.49 ↓ (3.52)	4.78 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
53.3%

Draw
27%

Zaragoza
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

23.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting de Gijón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaragoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Sporting de Gijón (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting de Gijón will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting de Gijón will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Perrin L. 5. Sanchez D. 24. Smith J. 14. Corredera A. 17. Dubasin J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 7. Campos G. 19. Otero J.	13. Rodriguez A. (G) 20. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Insua P. 16. Radovanovic A. 15. Pomares C. 5. Tachi 14. Francho 23. Cuenca M. A. 10. Guti R. 21. Valery 7. Soberon M.
Substitutes
9. Caicedo J. 16. Cortes O. 18. Coundoul A. 23. Curbelo E. 3. Garcia P. 22. Kembo Y. 21. Loum M. 6. Martin N. 11. Queipo D. 20. Vazquez K. 30. Venteo I. (G)	1. Andrada E. (G) 12. Bakis S. 11. Bazdar S. 9. Gomez D. 19. Kodro K. 22. Kosa S. 17. Moyano F. 8. Moya T. 31. Pinilla H. 33. Saidu Y. 29. Sans P. 3. Tasende D.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Selles R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Otero J. ⚽, Gelabert Pina C. (A),
36', Campos G. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
39', Radovanovic A. ↓, Saidu Y. ↑,
45+5', Otero J. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
45+8', Dubasin J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Coundoul A. ↑,
60', Cuenca M. A. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
61', Soberon M. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
61', Tachi ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
63', Aguirregabiria M. 🟨,
72', Corredera A. 🟨,
75', Valery ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
83', Corredera A. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
84', Rosas G. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 2.

Sporting de Gijón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zaragoza is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sporting de Gijón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting de Gijón is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Joel C. (Surgery)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Akouokou P. (Red Card) Bare K. (Surgery) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Sebastian J. (Red Card) de la Fuente P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.25	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:3 ✺
12.10.25	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Castellón - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sporting de Gijón - Albacete Balompié	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Almería - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLL
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
18.10.25	Zaragoza - Leonesa	0:5 ✺
11.10.25	Almería - Zaragoza	4:2 ✺
05.10.25	Zaragoza - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Mirandés - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ceuta - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.03.25	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
28.09.24	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0
05.02.24	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	3:0
14.10.23	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	2:2
22.01.23	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0
17.09.22	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
27.02.22	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:2

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