Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ibercaja Stadium (Zaragoza)

Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	Aragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Zaragoza		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.35
	1.9	3.31	4.98
	12.88	4.83	1.28	Watch
	1.91	3.41	4.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (1.64)	3.65 ↓ (3.78)	3.88 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
31.7%

Draw
35.2%

Leonesa
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.5%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

24.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zaragoza's form might have worsened.

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+25.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Zaragoza - Leonesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Leonesa will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leonesa: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 4. Insua P. 16. Radovanovic A. 15. Pomares C. 14. Francho (C) 10. Guti R. 24. Akouokou P. 17. Moyano F. 11. Bazdar S. 9. Gomez D.	13. Badia E. (G) 17. Calero I. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 19. Sobrino R. 28. Ojeda T. 14. Bicho 10. Chacon L. 23. Diallo Selu M. 9. Justo M.
Substitutes
20. Aguirregabiria M. 23. Cuenca M. A. 19. Kodro K. 8. Moya T. 31. Pinilla H. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 33. Saidu Y. 29. Sans P. 7. Soberon M. 5. Tachi 3. Tasende D. 21. Valery	1. Banuz M. (G) 7. Collado D. 11. Cortes P. 5. Fornos Q. 24. Garcia V. 8. Gonzalez Y. 33. Larios J. 6. Maestre S. 18. Paraschiv D. 22. Pibe 15. Ribeiro L. 16. Ribeiro T.
Coaches
Larraz E.	Ziganda C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Pomares C. 🟨,
33', Insua P. 🟨,
39', Sebastian J. 🟥,
40', 0 - 1, Justo M. (Pen),
45+2', Andrada E. 🟨,
45+2', Akouokou P. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Chacon L. ⚽,
45+4', Radovanovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Gomez D. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
46', Moyano F. ↓, Aguirregabiria M. ↑,
46', Pomares C. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
48', Akouokou P. 🟨,
49', Sobrino R. 🟨,
52', 0 - 3, Justo M. ⚽, Ojeda T. (A),
62', Sobrino R. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
62', Guti R. ↓, Saidu Y. ↑,
71', Rodri Suarez 🟨,
73', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Cortes P. ↑,
73', Justo M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
74', 0 - 4, Cortes P. ⚽,
75', Bazdar S. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
84', Bicho ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
84', Rodri Suarez ↓, Fornos Q. ↑,
86', 0 - 5, Cortes P. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Zaragoza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leonesa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Zaragoza is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Zaragoza: Bazdar S. (International duty) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Pomares C. (Injury) de la Fuente P. (Injury)

There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Mboula J. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Zaragoza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.25	Almería - Zaragoza	4:2 ✺
05.10.25	Zaragoza - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Mirandés - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ceuta - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
15.09.25	Zaragoza - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLT
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
13.10.25	Córdoba - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.10.25	Leonesa - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Valladolid - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Leonesa - Castellón	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Racing Santander - Leonesa	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
31.03.18	Leonesa - Zaragoza	0:1
27.10.17	Zaragoza - Leonesa	0:0

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