Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Málaga		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.75
	1.43	4	6.25
	1.45	4.2	6.5
	1.45	4.3	7.41
	1.45	4.29	7.41
	1.41	4.25	7.3
	1.42	4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	4.18 ↑ (3.5)	6.75 ↑ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
64.2%

Draw
22.1%

Atlético Sanluqueño
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

25.3%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

23.8%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Atlético Sanluqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Málaga - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sanluqueño will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 2. Gabilondo J. 25. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 18. Sanchez D. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 22. Lorenzo D. 12. Molina M. 11. Villodres K. 17. Dioni 19. Fernandez Jaen R.	1. Perez S. (G) 16. Carrasco K. 4. Cortijo A. 20. Roman F. 5. Rojas J. 3. Diaz V. 18. Guti A. 10. Goma I. 14. Vacaz L. 2. Ghailan Z. 19. Mwepu F.
Substitutes
26. Cordero A. 6. Enriquez R. 14. Garcia V. 8. Juanpe 10. Larrubia D. 13. Lopez C. (G) 29. Merino I. 15. Moussa D. 3. Ouacharaf B. 33. Recio A. 9. Zuniga L.	29. Arana P. 15. Bastida A. 9. Cabrera A. 23. Coke 13. Flere J. (G) 26. Gil Aguilar H. 22. Gonzalez J. 11. Jorge J. 24. Lugo P. (G) 12. Pereira R. 17. Raposo N.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15).

Recent matches Málaga is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Sanluqueño is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Sanluqueño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Atlético Sanluqueño have a series of home games.

In this match Málaga is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.11.23	Real Murcia - Málaga	1:4 ✺
18.11.23	Málaga - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Ibiza - Málaga	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Málaga - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Barakaldo - Málaga	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTTW
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.11.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
22.11.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.11.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.11.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Linares Deportivo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLW

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