Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 32

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2


	Málaga		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.1	5.25
	1.72	3.35	5.2	Watch
	1.92	3.15	5.37
	1.74	3.28	5.91	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.5
	1.75	3.3	5.7	Watch
	1.72	3.35	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.89)	3.24 ↓ (3.34)	5.3 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
53.2%

Draw
29.1%

Ferrol
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.7%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	13.3%	3.3%

Málaga - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: Málaga will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 19. Luismi 8. Juanpe 11. Medina K. 17. Dioni 24. Lobete J.	13. Yoel (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 15. Castro D. 18. Martinez B. 6. Sanz A. 16. Manzanara F. 10. Sene J. 2. Garcia N. 20. Gimenez A. 8. Pena H.
Substitutes
9. Baturina R. 33. Chamorro A. 27. Chupe 13. Lopez C. (G) 12. Molina M. 16. Murillo D. 5. Pastor A. 3. Puga C. 21. Rahmani Y. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L.	21. Blanco R. 7. Borrego C. 3. Correa R. 1. Emilio (G) 14. Gelardo A. 12. Insua E. 9. Jauregi E. 11. Nacho 5. Naldo 25. Ruiz J. (G) 19. Vallejo M.
Coaches
Pellicer S.	Menendez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Lobete J. ⚽, Medina K. (A),
12', Juanpe 🟨,
21', Manzanara F. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Larrubia D. ⚽, Lobete J. (A),
44', Gabilondo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gabilondo J. ↓, Puga C. ↑,
46', Juanpe ↓, Molina M. ↑,
61', Medina K. ↓, Rahmani Y. ↑,
67', Bunuel A. ↓, Nacho ↑,
67', Pena H. ↓, Correa R. ↑,
70', Dioni ↓, Chupe ↑,
79', Manzanara F. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
82', Sanz A. 🟨,
83', Lobete J. ↓, Sangalli L. ↑,
85', Puga C. 🟨,
86', Gimenez A. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Málaga is a favorite.

There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Merino I. (Red Card)

There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Lorenzo D. (Hip Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
15.03.25	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Málaga - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Almería - Málaga	2:2 ✺
21.02.25	Málaga - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Cartagena - Málaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLTWW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
15.03.25	Ferrol - Eibar	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Granada - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
05.03.25	Ferrol - Burgos	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Huesca - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Ferrol - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.08.24	Ferrol - Málaga	2:2

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