Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 30

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Granada		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.48	4	7.5	Watch
	1.51	3.8	6
	1.5	3.95	6.6	Watch
	1.5	4.13	7.68
	1.5	4.06	7.23	Watch
	1.5	4.1	7.02	Watch
	1.5	3.95	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.7)	4 ↑ (3.4)	6.95 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
62.9%

Draw
23.6%

Ferrol
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

27.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

26.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada's performance.

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Granada - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: Granada will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marino D. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 16. Lama M. 4. Rubio M. 15. Neva C. 11. Tsitaishvili G. 6. Hongla M. 20. Ruiz S. 21. Rebbach A. 19. Reinier 7. Boye L.	13. Yoel (G) 22. Bunuel A. 5. Naldo 15. Castro D. 12. Insua E. 6. Sanz A. 14. Gelardo A. 17. Dorrio J. 21. Blanco R. 8. Pena H. 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
30. Balde S. 17. Baston B. 37. Haro P. 38. Isachenko B. (G) 13. Martinez M. (G) 28. Oppong O. 34. Perez L. 26. Rodelas S. 12. Sanchez R. 23. Trigueros M. 8. Villar G. 9. Weissman S.	7. Borrego C. 3. Correa R. 1. Emilio (G) 2. Garcia N. 20. Gimenez A. 16. Manzanara F. 18. Martinez B. 4. Puric A. 25. Ruiz J. (G) 19. Vallejo M.
Coaches
Escriba F.	Menendez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Hongla M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Lama M. ⚽, Tsitaishvili G. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽, Rubio M. (A),
45+4', Castro D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 0, Tsitaishvili G. ⚽, Boye L. (A),
64', Pena H. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
64', Castro D. ↓, Puric A. ↑,
72', Hongla M. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
72', Rebbach A. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
77', Reinier ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
78', Blanco R. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
78', Dorrio J. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
81', Sanz A. ↓, Manzanara F. ↑,
84', Lama M. ↓, Oppong O. ↑,
84', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Granada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrol has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Granada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Granada is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Granada: Brau M. (Injury) Jozwiak K. (Injury) Zidane L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Ferrol: Sene J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Granada: Williams L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Inactive) Nacho (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Granada won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
02.03.25	Córdoba - Granada	5:0 ✺
22.02.25	Granada - Zaragoza	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Huesca - Granada	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Granada - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
31.01.25	Eldense - Granada	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTTW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
05.03.25	Ferrol - Burgos	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Huesca - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Ferrol - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Mirandés - Ferrol	4:1 ✺
08.02.25	Ferrol - Castellón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.08.24	Ferrol - Granada	0:1

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