The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferrol 28.7%
Draw 35.6%
Burgos 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
32%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
32.9%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.
Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.4%
17.6%
52.9%
Ferrol - Burgos Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Burgos will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 29.2% – 76.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Yoel (G) 12. Insua E. 15. Castro D. 22. Bunuel A. 5. Naldo 8. Pena H. 21. Blanco R. 10. Sene J. 6. Sanz A. 17. Dorrio J. 9. Jauregi E.
13. Cantero A. (G) 8. Sierra G. 4. Arroyo A. 3. Miguel F. 18. Cordoba A. 21. Cordoba I. 33. Exposito M. 7. Ojeda D. 22. Elady 5. Atienza M. 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D.
Substitutes
7. Borrego C. 26. Carballo D. 1. Emilio (G) 2. Garcia N. 14. Gelardo A. 20. Gimenez A. 16. Manzanara F. 18. Martinez B. 24. Perea L. 4. Puric A. 25. Ruiz J. (G) 19. Vallejo M.
11. Alex 15. Bares G. 28. Cantero M. 16. Curro 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 2. Konan G. 24. Milicic N. 23. Morante I. 1. Nadal T. (G) 9. Nino F. 20. Pipa 10. Sanchez B.
Coaches
Menendez A.
Ramis L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Elady ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
45+5', 0 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cordoba I. ↓, Curro ↑,
46', Ojeda D. ↓, Alex ↑,
56', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
64', Insua E. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
64', Blanco R. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
69', Sene J. 🟨,
71', Sene J. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
75', Miguel F. 🟨,
78', Dorrio J. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
78', Jauregi E. ↓, Carballo D. ↑,
83', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Pipa ↑,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 0.
Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Burgos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E.
(Injury)
Manzanara F.
(Muscle Injury)
Martinez B.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Burgos: Appin K.
(Knee Injury)
Navarro R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Ferrol - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.55%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Yoel (G) 
Insua E. 
Naldo 
Arroyo A. 
Miguel F. 
Puric A. 
Bares G. 
Konan G. 
