Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday


	Málaga		Girona

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.6
	2.28	2.95	3.45	Watch
	2.24	2.8	3.65
	2.32	2.92	3.92
	2.4	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.27	3.08	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.42)	2.95 ↓ (2.97)	3.53 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
41.4%

Draw
31.9%

Girona
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

31.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

22.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Girona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.3%	36.7%	20%

Málaga - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). Girona will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 25.6% – 61%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Málaga has the most likely position - 11 (5.44%), has project points - 56, has currently - 5, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Girona has the most likely position - 2 (10.49%), has project points - 67, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Recent matches Málaga is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Girona is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Málaga will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Málaga won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
04.09.21	Almería - Málaga	2:0 ✺
27.08.21	Málaga - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
22.08.21	Ibiza - Málaga	2:2 ✺
16.08.21	Málaga - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Málaga - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTTL
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
03.09.21	Girona - Sporting de Gijón	1:2 ✺
28.08.21	Ponferradina - Girona	2:1 ✺
22.08.21	Girona - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
14.08.21	Girona - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Girona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.05.21	Málaga - Girona	0:1
24.11.20	Girona - Málaga	0:1
28.06.20	Málaga - Girona	2:0
01.09.19	Girona - Málaga	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
27.01.18	Málaga - Girona	0:0
26.08.17	Girona - Málaga	1:0

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