Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	Ponferradina		Girona

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.55
	3.2	2.85	2.5	Watch
	3.15	2.9	2.4
	3.39	2.97	2.53
	3	2.9	2.5	Watch
	3.1	3.15	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (3.02)	2.97 ↑ (2.97)	2.47 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
30.3%

Draw
31.7%

Girona
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

31.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

21.9%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Girona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ponferradina - Girona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 12 (5.73%), has project points - 55, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Girona has the most likely position - 2 (12.63%), has project points - 71, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Ponferradina in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Girona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.21	Eibar - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Ponferradina - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.21	Deportivo A Coruña - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
07.08.21	Ponferradina - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
04.08.21	Zamora - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWWWW
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.21	Girona - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
14.08.21	Girona - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Girona	2:1 ✺
01.08.21	Llagostera - Girona	0:2 ✺
24.07.21	Barcelona - Girona	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.04.21	Girona - Ponferradina	3:1
11.01.21	Ponferradina - Girona	1:1
22.02.20	Girona - Ponferradina	2:0
17.11.19	Ponferradina - Girona	1:1
04.06.16	Ponferradina - Girona	0:1
17.01.16	Girona - Ponferradina	4:0
08.03.15	Ponferradina - Girona	3:0

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