Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DSports 6
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DSports 6


	Málaga		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.15	Watch
	1.84	3.47	4.58
	1.91	3.38	4.21	Watch
	1.9	3.5	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.19)	3.41 ↓ (3.49)	4.29 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
50.5%

Draw
27.6%

Mirandés
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

27%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.9%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Málaga's performance.

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirandés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Málaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirandés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	25%	5%

Málaga - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Mirandés will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Mirandés (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 36. Recio A. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 12. Dotor C. 11. Munoz J. 21. Nino A. 22. Lorenzo D.	1. Nikic I. (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 4. Pascual M. 21. Postigo S. (C) 22. Gutierrez J. 17. Perez P. 26. Bauza R. 6. Helguera T. 8. Martin Luis A. 14. Mari A. 10. Fernandez C.
Substitutes
7. Abaida H. 26. Arriaza P. 9. Chupe 2. Gabilondo J. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 31. Rafita 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.	18. Barea Fernandez I. 11. Cardero A. 24. Cordoba I. 30. El Jebari S. 20. Eto'o E. 13. Juanpa (G) 3. Medrano F. 9. Petit G. 5. Pica A. 27. Tamarit T. 7. Varela I.
Coaches
Funes J.	Galvan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Nino A. ⚽, Dotor C. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Nino A. ⚽,
41', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Tamarit T. ↑,
45+3', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
45+4', Postigo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Pascual M. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
46', Martin Luis A. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
51', Mari A. 🟨,
54', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Mari A. ⚽, Perez P. (A),
63', Postigo S. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
70', Nino A. ↓, Chupe ↑,
70', Munoz J. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
73', Garcia V. 🟨,
75', Mari A. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Petit G. ⚽, El Jebari S. (A),
83', Larrubia D. ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
83', Lorenzo D. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Galilea E. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Málaga is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Juanpe (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Montero J. (Yellow Cards) Murillo D. (Red Card) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Mirandés: Lopez P. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Málaga - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.13%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Mirandés - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 29.87%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
17.11.25	Leonesa - Málaga	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Málaga - Córdoba	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Castellón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Estepona - Málaga	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Málaga - FC Andorra	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWW
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.25	Mirandés - Burgos	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Leonesa - Mirandés	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Mirandés	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Mirandés - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.01.25	Mirandés - Málaga	3:2
24.08.24	Málaga - Mirandés	1:1
13.05.23	Málaga - Mirandés	2:0
27.08.22	Mirandés - Málaga	1:3
30.01.22	Mirandés - Málaga	3:0
16.08.21	Málaga - Mirandés	0:0
01.03.21	Mirandés - Málaga	1:0

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