Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Mérida AD		Granada B

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.06	3.02	4.04
	2.06	3.02	4.04
	1.83	3	3.7
	2	3.13	3.92
	1.96	3.05	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.96)	3.05 ↑ (3)	3.84 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
46%

Draw
30.1%

Granada B
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

23.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Granada B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Granada B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mérida AD - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 19. Felipe 22. Bourdal T. 12. Falcon E. 21. Llacer L. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Gutierrez I. 5. Acosta L. 14. Beneit R. 10. Mukai A. 16. Martin J.	13. Tristan P. (G) 2. Castro R. 4. Van Rijn N. 23. Lopez D. 22. Osei P. 10. Perez C. 8. Lendinez J. 7. Gonzalez M. 30. Rodelas S. 16. Griger A. 9. Julito
Substitutes
9. Chuma 20. Elejalde I. 11. Escardo A. 2. Midon D. 8. Ndongo N. 18. Padilla J. 3. Prada R. 13. Vicente D. (G)	36. Bello E. 5. Bosch M. 20. Clavijo D. 18. Gutierrez E. 19. Ibarrondo A. 41. Jerez (G) 26. Lozano J. 6. Masllorens J. 29. Mortimer N. 14. Saenz P. 11. Talaveron D.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1.

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Granada B has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mérida AD will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.24	Alcoyano - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Ceuta - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Mérida AD - Málaga	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Intercity - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Mérida AD - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTLWT
- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.01.24	Granada B - Melilla	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Recreativo Huelva - Granada B	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Granada B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Atlético Madrid B - Granada B	3:2 ✺
26.11.23	Granada B - Atlético Baleares	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.02.20	Mérida AD - Granada B	1:1
29.09.19	Granada B - Mérida AD	0:2
21.01.18	Mérida AD - Granada B	0:2
02.09.17	Granada B - Mérida AD	1:0
28.01.17	Granada B - Mérida AD	3:0
11.09.16	Mérida AD - Granada B	1:0
21.02.16	Mérida AD - Granada B	2:1

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