Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Romano (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Mérida AD		Intercity

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.23	2.95	3.4
	2.24	3	3.47
	2.2	2.89	3.49	Watch
	2.25	2.81	3.54
	2.23	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.93)	2.91 ↓ (2.92)	3.41 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
41.5%

Draw
31.6%

Intercity
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

31.5%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mérida AD's form might have worsened.

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Intercity's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Mérida AD - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 15. Prevedini M. 28. del Cerro S. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 22. Climent M. 17. Ganet P. 10. Juanjo 11. Doncel C. 23. Busi 21. Beneit R. 9. Mizzian M.	13. Casado S. (G) 2. San Emeterio B. 4. Hernandez A. 20. Codina M. 7. Zequi 6. Gracia J. 5. Llonch P. 10. Martinez B. 11. Roige Rodriguez P. 23. Gonzalez N. 9. Locadia J.
Substitutes
14. Beltran L. 4. Bonaque M. 8. Eslava J. 18. Falcon E. 16. Garcia P. 19. Pipe 3. Sergi 27. Tiago Leal 13. Vicente D. (G)	18. Burlamaqui A. 19. De Santis J. 14. Elady 3. Mendibe M. 22. Montero Sergio 8. Nsue E. 25. Zhernovenko I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Roige Rodriguez P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Prevedini M. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
59', San Emeterio B. 🟨,
60', Zequi ↓, Elady ↑,
61', Gonzalez N. 🟨,
61', Beneit R. ↓, Pipe ↑,
61', Doncel C. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
65', Roige Rodriguez P. 🟨,
66', Roige Rodriguez P. 🟨,
67', 🟨,
71', Locadia J. ↓, Burlamaqui A. ↑,
71', Gonzalez N. ↓, Nsue E. ↑,
75', Gracia J. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
76', 🟨,
78', del Cerro S. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Pipe ⚽,
83', Pareja Alvarez L. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Juanjo ⚽,
90+6', Mizzian M. 🟨,
90+6', Garcia P. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Intercity is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Intercity could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mérida AD will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.11.24	Atlético Madrid B - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Mérida AD - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Alcorcón - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Mérida AD - Betis B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTTT
- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.11.24	Intercity - Fuenlabrada	1:3 ✺
08.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Intercity	5:0 ✺
26.10.24	Marbella - Intercity	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Intercity - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Ceuta - Intercity	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.05.24	Mérida AD - Intercity	3:0
02.12.23	Intercity - Mérida AD	0:1

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