Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Marbella		Intercity

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.05	3.3	3.45
	2.13	3.06	3.74
	2.08	3.11	3.52	Watch
	2.08	3.1	3.7
	2.05	3.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.03)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	3.54 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
44.6%

Draw
29.3%

Intercity
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.7%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Marbella - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Martin D. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 5. Acosta L. 4. Carrasco J. (C) 15. Diori Y. 3. Fornes G. 21. Munoz P. 23. Pena M. 8. Alamo J. 10. Punal A. 7. Callejon J.	13. Casado S. (G) 3. Mendibe M. 4. Hernandez A. 20. Codina M. 17. Jimenez E. 22. Montero Sergio 18. Burlamaqui A. (C) 6. Gracia J. 10. Martinez B. 14. Elady 23. Gonzalez N.
Substitutes
17. Alayeto I. 12. Assi J. 18. Awudu T. 6. Duarte J. 9. Du Yuezheng 16. Hanza D. 1. Lejarraga A. (G) 19. Ohemeng E. 14. Olguin M. 25. Solsky D. (G) 11. Soto A.	19. De Santis J. 1. Freixanet P. (G) 5. Llonch P. 26. Ron K. 21. Sito 29. Webb T. 7. Zequi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Diori Y. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Elady (Pen),
37', Burlamaqui A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Punal A. ↓, Awudu T. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Awudu T. ⚽,
57', Montero Sergio ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
59', Carrasco J. 🟨,
64', Carrasco J. ↓, Olguin M. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Callejon J. ⚽,
71', Elady ↓, Zequi ↑,
71', Martinez B. ↓, Sito ↑,
75', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Llonch P. ↑,
75', Munoz P. ↓, Duarte J. ↑,
86', Fornes G. ↓, Ohemeng E. ↑,
86', Awudu T. ↓, Hanza D. ↑,
86', Jimenez E. 🟨,
86', Alvarez J. 🟨,
90+1', Sito 🟨,
90+5', Duarte J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Intercity could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marbella will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.10.24	Real Murcia - Marbella	0:0 ✺
16.10.24	Antequera - Marbella	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Marbella - Sevilla B	4:1 ✺
04.10.24	Alcoyano - Marbella	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Marbella - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWLW
- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.10.24	Intercity - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Ceuta - Intercity	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Intercity - Yeclano Deportivo	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Antequera - Intercity	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Intercity - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTTL

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