Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 34

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Romano (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Mérida AD		Antequera

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.24	3.25	3.1
	2.33	3.24	3.06
	2.25	3.21	3.01	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.08
	2.24	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
40.6%

Draw
29.1%

Antequera
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Mérida AD - Antequera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 4. Bonaque M. 18. Falcon E. 22. Athuman I. 11. Doncel C. 10. Juanjo 17. Ganet P. 21. Beneit R. 9. Mizzian M. 7. Alvaro J.	13. Lario J. (G) 12. Fomeyem F. 23. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Perez I. 3. Carrion J. 7. Luismi Gutierrez 10. Nunez C. 5. Marcelo A. 8. Clavijo D. 17. Roige Rodriguez P. 14. Rubio A.
Substitutes
23. Busi 24. Carvalho M. 28. del Cerro S. 8. Eslava J. 3. Jimenez N. 26. Macia I. (G) 6. Miki 20. Nabian H. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M. 16. Sanchez E. 13. Vicente D. (G)	20. Aspra J. 21. Biabiany J. 16. Elejalde I. 19. Fernandez X. 26. Gonzalez I. 22. Jaime G. 9. Longo S. 15. Moreno A. 1. Moreno I. (G) 2. Rodriguez I. 11. Siddiki O. 6. Toni Arranz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Roige Rodriguez P. 🟨,
7', Fomeyem F. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Beneit R. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Alvaro J. ⚽,
42', Carrion J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rubio A. ↓, Siddiki O. ↑,
46', Roige Rodriguez P. ↓, Biabiany J. ↑,
46', Clavijo D. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
46', Fomeyem F. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
46', Mizzian M. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
54', 3 - 0, Beneit R. ⚽,
56', Alvaro J. ↓, Busi ↑,
66', Luismi Gutierrez ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
67', Luismi Gutierrez 🟨,
69', Doncel C. ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,
70', Ganet P. ↓, Miki ↑,
70', Beneit R. ↓, Carvalho M. ↑,
73', Carvalho M. 🟨,
76', del Cerro S. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Mérida AD is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Antequera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mérida AD will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.04.25	Fuenlabrada - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Hércules - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Mérida AD - Sevilla B	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Alcoyano - Mérida AD	2:3 ✺
21.03.25	Mérida AD - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TTWWW
- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.04.25	Antequera - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Intercity - Antequera	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Antequera - Hércules	4:3 ✺
30.03.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera	4:2 ✺
22.03.25	Antequera - Algeciras	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.10.24	Antequera - Mérida AD	1:1
04.02.24	Antequera - Mérida AD	2:2
07.10.23	Mérida AD - Antequera	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.04.22	Mérida AD - Antequera	1:1
14.11.21	Antequera - Mérida AD	0:2

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