Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Algeciras		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.08	3.1	3.76
	2.05	3.25	3.65	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.5
	2.04	3.04	3.58
	2.05	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.4)	3.06 ↓ (3.07)	3.58 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Algeciras
44.7%

Draw
29.8%

Villarreal B
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.3%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Algeciras's performance.

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Algeciras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Algeciras - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Algeciras will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Algeciras (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 15. Ruiz V. 6. Mayorga A. 11. Sanchez T. 8. Turrillo I. (C) 24. Castro O. 19. Obeng I. 10. Garrido D. 7. Rastrojo J. 9. Gonzaga M.	25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 2. Budesca D. 4. Sierra I. 6. Spatz L. M. 3. Ortiz E. 7. Moreno V. (C) 15. Tidiane Thiam C. 16. Pascual P. 22. Viveros F. 9. Rubio A. 30. Garcia A.
Substitutes
20. Alamo J. 2. Arauz C. 17. Aviles J. 4. Coch A. 21. Garcia J. 16. Gomez A. 3. Marquez J. 5. Montes E. 14. Nader A. 30. Perez M. (G)	27. Barattucci N. 19. Barry M. 33. Bonafe C. 20. Curro 36. El Jmili N. 5. Gil F. 13. Quevedo A. (G) 34. Rodriguez U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Viveros F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Garrido D. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
58', Adot Barandiaran P. A. ↓, Alamo J. ↑,
63', Rubio A. 🟨,
75', Turrillo I. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
75', Viveros F. ↓, Barry M. ↑,
83', Rubio A. ↓, Barattucci N. ↑,
90+1', Obeng I. ↓, Aviles J. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Algeciras will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Algeciras won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Villarreal B - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.99%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.12.25	Teruel - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ibiza - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWT
- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.12.25	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Villarreal B - Teruel	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Villarreal B	0:3 ✺
21.11.25	Villarreal B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Tarazona - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.04.25	Villarreal B - Algeciras	0:3
29.09.24	Algeciras - Villarreal B	1:1
02.04.22	Villarreal B - Algeciras	3:0
09.01.22	Algeciras - Villarreal B	2:1

Upcoming Matches