Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Round 13

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Mġarr United		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.4
	1.63	3.85	4.25
	1.64	3.9	4.49
	1.71	3.62	4.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.38)	3.77 ↓ (4.6)	4.42 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mġarr United
55.3%

Draw
24.1%

Lija Athletic
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

19.9%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

19%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mġarr United's form might have worsened.

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lija Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mġarr United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lija Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mġarr United - Lija Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Debono J. (G) 23. Boakye S. 29. Donsu K. 8. Frendo K. 22. McKay L. 24. Mifsud M. 5. Mijic L. 16. Okoh S. 10. Suda J. (C) 2. Vukovic D. 19. Zammit J.	12. Bonnici L. (C) 5. Azzopardi A. 7. Beu E. 83. Briffa S. 3. Camilleri J. 66. Khatib O. 98. Mallia L. 8. Mifsud M. 4. Muscat L. 33. Sciberras B. 9. Winchester R.
Substitutes
27. Attard M. 7. Azzopardi K. 15. Borg A. 12. Chircop J. (G) 11. Gauci C. 6. Howland T. 17. Mahop V. 14. Zammit C. 88. Zerafa J.	44. Courage O. 21. Fenech M. 2. Giordimaina C. 27. Hernandez A. 16. Joyce G. 1. Mallia J. 25. Oyeyemi A. A. 11. Ronald Makalysten 88. Xuereb J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Khatib O. 🟨,
30', Vukovic D. 🟨,
36', Briffa S. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Camilleri J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', McKay L. ↓, Gauci C. ↑,
56', Mifsud M. ↓, Zammit C. ↑,
69', Mallia L. ↓, Ronald Makalysten ↑,
80', Donsu K. 🟨,
81', Winchester R. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
84', Frendo K. ↓, Azzopardi K. ↑,
84', Suda J. ↓, Mahop V. ↑,
84', Donsu K. ↓, Attard M. ↑,
85', Boakye S. 🟨,
89', Sciberras B. ↓, Giordimaina C. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League
18.01.25	Sirens - Mġarr United	4:4 ✺
05.01.25	Mġarr United - Senglea Athletic	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Mġarr United - Fgura United	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Tarxien Rainbows - Mġarr United	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Valletta - Mġarr United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTWL
- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
18.01.25	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	2:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
12.01.25	Lija Athletic - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:5 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
05.01.25	Lija Athletic - Sirens	3:0 ✺
22.12.24	Lija Athletic - Santa Lucia	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Żurrieq - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WLWLT

Mġarr United - Lija Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide