Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Lija Athletic		Sirens

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.8	1.89	Watch
	3.21	3.61	1.93
	3.27	3.93	1.9
	3.29	4.22	1.85
	3.25	3.8	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.61)	3.87 ↑ (3.84)	1.89 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lija Athletic
28.1%

Draw
23.6%

Sirens
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

23.8%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

23.1%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Lija Athletic - Sirens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bonnici L. (C) 5. Azzopardi A. 7. Beu E. 2. Giordimaina C. 31. Jackson K. 66. Khatib O. 8. Mifsud M. 4. Muscat L. 11. Ronald Makalysten 33. Sciberras B. 9. Winchester R.	1. Spiteri M. J. (G) 14. Agius M. 18. Akadom H. 16. Attard J. 4. Camilleri G. (C) 5. Carlos Chaba 6. Elfarsi S. 10. Gilberto 3. Grech Z. 11. Muscat K. 7. Zammit T.
Substitutes
99. Amhamed A. 83. Briffa S. 3. Camilleri J. 44. Courage O. 21. Fenech M. 16. Joyce G. 1. Mallia J. (G) 25. Oyeyemi A. A. 88. Xuereb Pavia D.	2. Borg K. 12. Cassar A. (G) 20. Degabriele H. 8. Fenech M. 21. Galea T. 24. Grima M. (G) 17. Matthews C. W. 19. Messina A. 9. Nonato T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Camilleri G. ⚽,
38', Carlos Chaba 🟨,
39', Winchester R. 🟨,
41', Khatib O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', Mifsud M. ↓, Briffa S. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Agius M. (Own goal),
76', Sciberras B. ↓, Camilleri J. ↑,
79', Agius M. ↓, Fenech M. ↑,
81', Grech Z. ↓, Messina A. ↑,
86', Zammit T. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Gilberto ⚽,
90+2', Gilberto 🟨,

Preview

Lija is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sirens has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sirens have a series of home games.

In this match Sirens is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lija won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Lija won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
08.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Lija Athletic - Fgura United	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Mġarr United - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	2:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
12.01.25	Lija Athletic - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTWL
- Sirens FC
Maltese Challenge League
09.02.25	Sirens - Fgura United	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Sirens	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Sirens - Senglea Athletic	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Sirens - Mġarr United	4:4 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
10.01.25	Sirens - Qrendi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
05.01.25	Lija Athletic - Sirens	3:0
Maltese Premier League
26.02.21	Sirens - Lija Athletic	1:1
15.11.20	Lija Athletic - Sirens	0:2
Maltese Challenge League
01.02.19	Sirens - Lija Athletic	3:1

Lija Athletic - Sirens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide