Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Senglea Athletic		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.7	2.5
	3.2	3.7	1.93	Watch
	3.21	3.84	1.94	Watch
	3.4	3.62	1.89
	3.2	3.7	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.33)	3.71 ↑ (3.1)	2.04 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senglea Athletic
30.2%

Draw
24.7%

Lija Athletic
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

25.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senglea Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Senglea Athletic's form might have worsened.

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lija Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senglea Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Senglea Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lija Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mintoff S. (G) 9. Attram G. T. 7. Cassar Jeffries R. 2. Cini A. 8. Douglas Lukaku 23. Farrugia I. 6. Fenech T. 14. Meilak S. (C) 11. Nakov A. 89. Tweneboa B. 19. Vella E.	12. Bonnici L. (C) 5. Azzopardi A. 7. Beu E. 83. Briffa S. 11. Costa R. 2. Giordimaina C. 20. Iury 31. Jackson K. 15. Jovanoski J. 66. Khatib O. 4. Muscat L.
Substitutes
28. Bonello K. 3. Buttigieg N. 10. Cutajar R. 4. Gatt M. 1. Grech J. (G) 17. McKay L. 20. Sammut P. P.	99. Amhamed A. 24. Azzopardi B. 44. Courage O. 21. Fenech M. 16. Joyce G. 1. Mallia J. 8. Mifsud M. 25. Oyeyemi A. A. 33. Sciberras B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Fenech T. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Beu E. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Attram G. T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Jovanoski J. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
68', Costa R. ↓, Oyeyemi A. A. ↑,
68', Jovanoski J. ↓, Courage O. ↑,
75', Fenech T. 🟨,
79', Khatib O. 🟨,
81', Nakov A. ↓, Bonello K. ↑,
84', Giordimaina C. ↓, Sciberras B. ↑,
84', Vella E. ↓, McKay L. ↑,
85', Iury 🟨,
90+1', Briffa S. 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Senglea won 2.

Senglea has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lija is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Senglea won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Senglea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Senglea Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
30.03.25	Senglea Athletic - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
12.03.25	Valletta - Senglea Athletic	1:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
09.03.25	Fgura United - Senglea Athletic	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Senglea Athletic - Gudja United	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	St. Andrews - Senglea Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
29.03.25	Lija Athletic - Fgura United	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Gudja United - Lija Athletic	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Lija Athletic - St. Andrews	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Mtarfa - Lija Athletic	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Lija Athletic - Sirens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
18.01.25	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	2:3
28.01.24	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	0:2
Maltese Premier League
17.02.21	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	1:3
20.09.20	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	4:0
12.01.18	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	2:0
10.09.17	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	2:3
Maltese Challenge League
19.03.17	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	0:2

Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide