Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach (Suwałki)


	Wigry Suwałki		Mławianka Mława

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.8	3.5
	1.76	3.96	3.68	Watch
	1.75	3.85	3.71	Watch
	1.66	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.66)	3.9 ↓ (4)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigry Suwałki
52%

Draw
23.1%

Mławianka Mława
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

22.1%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

21.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Mławianka Mława has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Wigry Suwałki - Mławianka Mława Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Guzewski B. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Guzdek B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 13).

Wigry is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mławianka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wigry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wigry is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wigry won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Wigry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwalki	11	6	4	1	19:10	9	22
15	Mlawa	11	3	1	7	22:32	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.05.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Wigry Suwałki - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Legia II - Wigry Suwałki	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Wigry Suwałki - ŁKS Łomża	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Wikielec - Wigry Suwałki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWW
- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.05.26	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Mławianka Mława	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Mławianka Mława - Znicz Biała Piska	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Wikielec - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	GKS Bełchatów - Mławianka Mława	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.10.25	Mławianka Mława - Wigry Suwałki	1:2
26.03.25	Wigry Suwałki - Mławianka Mława	1:2
10.08.24	Mławianka Mława - Wigry Suwałki	2:3

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