Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 29

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Mławianka Mława		Pilica Białobrzegi

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.6	3.1
	1.71	3.72	3.8
	2.04	3.44	3.01
	2.01	3.67	3.22	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.55)	3.61 ↓ (4)	3.32 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
47.4%

Draw
25.2%

Pilica Białobrzegi
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mławianka Mława's form might have worsened.

Pilica Białobrzegi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pilica Białobrzegi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mławianka Mława, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pilica Białobrzegi than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pilica Białobrzegi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mławianka Mława - Pilica Białobrzegi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Grabowski G. (Pen),
43', Bryszewski M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Markowicz M. ⚽, Stefanski A. (A),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mławianka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pilica Białobrzegi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Mławianka is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mławianka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mławianka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.05.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Mławianka Mława - Concordia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Mławianka Mława - Pelikan Łowicz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWTT
- MKS Pilica Białobrzegi
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.05.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Concordia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Broń Radom - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Legia II - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Olimpia Zambrów	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.10.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Mławianka Mława	0:0
06.05.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Mławianka Mława	2:0
01.10.22	Mławianka Mława - Pilica Białobrzegi	6:2

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