Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Broń Radom		Mławianka Mława

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.85	3.95
	1.58	4.09	4.4
	1.51	4.30	5.26	Watch
	1.63	4.15	4.38	Watch
	1.96	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.97)	4.03 ↑ (3.83)	4.2 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Broń Radom
55.2%

Draw
22.8%

Mławianka Mława
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

23.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

22.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Broń Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Broń Radom's performance.

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mławianka Mława might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Broń Radom that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mławianka Mława could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Broń Radom will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Mławianka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Broń Radom: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Broń Radom (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Kalaska J. ⚽,
45+1', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 0.

Broń Radom is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mławianka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Broń Radom could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.8:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Broń Radom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Broń Radom	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Broń Radom - Znicz Biała Piska	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Broń Radom - Wigry Suwałki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWWW
- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.10.25	Mławianka Mława - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Mławianka Mława	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Mławianka Mława - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Mławianka Mława - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Wasilków - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.05.25	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	0:3
09.11.24	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	2:1
12.04.24	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	0:0
16.09.23	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	3:0
01.04.23	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	2:4
27.08.22	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	4:2

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