Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Serie B - Round 26
  • Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday
  • Location: Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos) (Recife)
  • Referee: Gomes T. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • brazilBrazilSporTV
    usaUsaSportsEngine Play
    Náutico Capibaribe Botafogo SP
    Náutico Capibaribe Botafogo SP
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 1.91 3.10 4.33
    Bwin 1.93 3.20 3.80
    betsson 1.92 3.30 4.00
    Bet_in_Asia 1.98 3.31 4.35
    GGBet 1.97 3.25 4.04 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 1.99 3.25 4.10
    BetNow 1.90 3.09 4.55
    Bovada 1.85 3.05 3.80
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.25)
    3.19
    (3.25)
    4.12
    (3.1)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

    • The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Náutico Capibaribe
    48.2%
    Draw
    29.2%
    Botafogo SP
    22.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    41.4% 28.6% 30%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    43% 27.5% 28.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Capibaribe's performance.
  • Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo SP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Capibaribe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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    Predictions

  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. BrazilMuriel Becker (G)
      2. BrazilArnaldo
    15. BrazilLeo Indio
    23. BrazilIgor Fernandes
      3. BrazilBetao
      8. BrazilWenderson
    41. BrazilSamuel Felix
    72. BrazilDerek
    10. BrazilJean Carlos (C)
    24. ArgentinaBorasi B.
      7. BrazilVinicius
      1. BrazilVictor Souza (G)
    22. BrazilGabriel Inocencio
      3. BrazilEricson
      4. BrazilVilar
      6. BrazilPatrick Brey (C)
    13. BrazilWallace
      8. BrazilEverton Morelli
    18. BrazilArthur Caike
    10. BrazilRafael Gava
    23. BrazilWesley Santos
      9. BrazilHygor
    Substitutes
      5. BrazilAuremir
    88. BrazilCaio
    55. UruguayGuruceaga G. (G)
    46. BrazilGustavo Henrique
    29. BrazilJunior Todinho
    19. BrazilKauan Maranhao
    16. BrazilLuiz Claudio
    22. ArgentinaNunez P.
    93. BrazilReginaldo
      6. BrazilRyan Carlos
    34. BrazilWanderson
    17. BrazilWendell
    17. BrazilGuilherme Queiroz
    34. BrazilHebert
      2. BrazilJonathan
    12. BrazilJordan (G)
      7. BrazilKelvin
      5. ArgentinaLeandro Maciel
    16. BrazilMatheus Sales
    29. BrazilThiago Moraes
    20. BrazilYuri Felipe
    30. BrazilZe Hugo
    Coaches
         BrazilHelio dos Anjos
         BrazilClaudio Tencati

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 57', Borasi B. , Kauan Maranhao ,
    • 57', Jean Carlos , Junior Todinho ,
    • 63', Patrick Brey 🟨,
    • 65', Arthur Caike , Kelvin ,
    • 65', Wesley Santos , Ze Hugo ,
    • 70', Arnaldo 🟨,
    • 71', Arnaldo , Reginaldo ,
    • 71', Derek , Luiz Claudio ,
    • 75', 🟨,
    • 77', 1 - 0, Luiz Claudio ,
    • 81', Wenderson , Auremir ,
    • 82', Hygor , Guilherme Queiroz ,
    • 82', Ericson , Leandro Maciel ,
    • 83', Rafael Gava , Thiago Moraes ,
    • 90+1', Kauan Maranhao 🟨,

    Preview

  • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).
  • Náutico is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Botafogo SP has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Náutico could have a small edge in this match.
  • There will not play in Náutico: Luiz Felipe (Injury) Matheus Ribeiro (Injury) Paulo Sergio (Injury)
  • There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao (Knee Injury) Erik Rebello (Injury) Felipe Vieira (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Mariano (Inactive)
  • There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Darlan (Injury)
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
  • Including home match between the teams, Náutico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
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    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    11Nautico271071032:30237
    15Botafogo SP27871230:32-231

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie B
    28.08.26 Náutico Capibaribe - Athletic Club 2:1
    23.08.26 São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe 1:1
    18.08.26 Náutico Capibaribe - Ceará 1:0
    14.08.26 Ponte Preta - Náutico Capibaribe 1:1
    09.08.26 Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético Goianiense 1:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7
    WTWTT
    - Botafogo SP
    Brazilian Serie B
    29.08.26 Botafogo SP - Cuiabá 1:2
    25.08.26 Atlético Goianiense - Botafogo SP 3:0
    19.08.26 Botafogo SP - Criciúma 1:1
    14.08.26 São Bernardo - Botafogo SP 0:1
    08.08.26 Botafogo SP - América Mineiro 2:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2
    LLTWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Brazilian Serie B
    02.05.26 Botafogo SP - Náutico Capibaribe 1:1
    13.12.20 Botafogo SP - Náutico Capibaribe 1:1
    12.09.20 Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo SP 3:1
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie B
    15.09.26 Náutico Capibaribe - Operário Ferroviario
    - Botafogo SP
    Brazilian Serie B
    14.09.26 Botafogo SP - Goiás