The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Náutico Capibaribe 48.2%
Draw 29.2%
Botafogo SP 22.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.4%
28.6%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
27.5%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Capibaribe's performance.
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo SP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Capibaribe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo SP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Muriel Becker (G) 2. Arnaldo 15. Leo Indio 23. Igor Fernandes 3. Betao 8. Wenderson 41. Samuel Felix 72. Derek 10. Jean Carlos (C) 24. Borasi B. 7. Vinicius
1. Victor Souza (G) 22. Gabriel Inocencio 3. Ericson 4. Vilar 6. Patrick Brey (C) 13. Wallace 8. Everton Morelli 18. Arthur Caike 10. Rafael Gava 23. Wesley Santos 9. Hygor
Substitutes
5. Auremir 88. Caio 55. Guruceaga G. (G) 46. Gustavo Henrique 29. Junior Todinho 19. Kauan Maranhao 16. Luiz Claudio 22. Nunez P. 93. Reginaldo 6. Ryan Carlos 34. Wanderson 17. Wendell
17. Guilherme Queiroz 34. Hebert 2. Jonathan 12. Jordan (G) 7. Kelvin 5. Leandro Maciel 16. Matheus Sales 29. Thiago Moraes 20. Yuri Felipe 30. Ze Hugo
Coaches
Helio dos Anjos
Claudio Tencati
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Borasi B. ↓, Kauan Maranhao ↑,
57', Jean Carlos ↓, Junior Todinho ↑,
63', Patrick Brey 🟨,
65', Arthur Caike ↓, Kelvin ↑,
65', Wesley Santos ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
70', Arnaldo 🟨,
71', Arnaldo ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
71', Derek ↓, Luiz Claudio ↑,
75', 🟨,
77', 1 - 0, Luiz Claudio ⚽,
81', Wenderson ↓, Auremir ↑,
82', Hygor ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
82', Ericson ↓, Leandro Maciel ↑,
83', Rafael Gava ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
90+1', Kauan Maranhao 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).
Náutico is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Botafogo SP has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Náutico could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Náutico: Luiz Felipe
(Injury)
Matheus Ribeiro
(Injury)
Paulo Sergio
(Injury)
There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao
(Knee Injury)
Erik Rebello
(Injury)
Felipe Vieira
(Yellow Cards)
Guilherme Mariano
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Darlan
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Náutico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Brazil
Usa
Watch
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Muriel Becker (G) 
Borasi B. 
Guruceaga G. (G) 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
