Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday


	Juventude		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.6
				Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.1
	1.85	3.69	4.5
	1.8	3.4	4.33
	1.83	3.72	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.8)	3.5 ↑ (3.37)	4.4 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
52%

Draw
26.7%

Náutico Capibaribe
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

28.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

22.3%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juventude - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Juventude is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Náutico is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Juventude is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.20	América Mineiro - Juventude	2:1 ✺
20.11.20	Juventude - Paraná Clube Curitiba	5:0 ✺
14.11.20	Juventude - Sampaio Corrêa	2:3 ✺
08.11.20	CRB Maceio - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.11.20	Juventude - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWL
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
25.11.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	CRB Maceio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
17.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
13.11.20	Operário Ferroviario - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
06.11.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Avaí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.08.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Juventude	3:3
Brazilian Serie C
22.09.19	Náutico Capibaribe - Juventude	3:1 penalties
15.09.19	Juventude - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
24.10.17	Juventude - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0
11.07.17	Náutico Capibaribe - Juventude	1:1

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