Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos) (Recife)

Referee: Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Náutico Capibaribe		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.50	4.20
	1.85	3.30	3.90
	1.90	3.40	4.00
	1.93	3.52	4.32
	1.88	3.42	4.17
	1.89	3.45	4.20
	1.88	3.38	4.10
	1.88	3.35	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.88)	3.42 ↑ (3.37)	4.12 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
49.9%

Draw
27.4%

Goiás
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

27.5%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Náutico Capibaribe - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Goiás will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muriel Becker (C) 66. Leo Jance 13. Indio 23. Igor Fernandes 93. Reginaldo 27. Luiz Felipe 8. Wenderson 7. Vinicius 10. Dodo 98. Felipe Saraiva 72. Derek	1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 2. Rodrigo Soares 3. Luiz Felipe 4. Ramon Menezes 54. Djalma Silva 5. Filipe Machado (C) 35. Luquinhas 40. Kadu 10. Lucas Lima 21. Jean Carlos 18. Cadu
Substitutes
5. Auremir 30. Felipe Cardoso 55. Guruceaga G. (G) 46. Gustavo Henrique 18. Halan 99. Isaque Ferreira 16. Luiz Claudio 60. Luiz Paulo 14. Matheus Ribeiro 41. Samuel Felix 11. Victor Andrade 34. Wanderson	9. Anselmo Ramon 55. Baldoria 88. Brayann 20. Diego Caito 15. Garcia E. 77. Halerrandrio 8. Juninho 25. Luisao 32. Murillo (G) 29. Murilo Camara
Coaches
Helio dos Anjos	Daniel Paulista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Djalma Silva ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Felipe Saraiva ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
58', Reginaldo ↓, Matheus Ribeiro ↑,
58', Derek ↓, Luiz Claudio ↑,
62', Jean Carlos ↓, Diego Caito ↑,
63', Luquinhas ↓, Baldoria ↑,
69', Indio ↓, Wanderson ↑,
70', Leo Jance ↓, Luiz Paulo ↑,
71', Djalma Silva ↓, Luisao ↑,
71', Kadu ↓, Halerrandrio ↑,
82', Cadu ↓, Juninho ↑,
90+4', Rodrigo Soares 🟨,
90+7', Luiz Felipe 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 3.

Recent form of Náutico has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Goiás has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Náutico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Náutico is the team to beat.

There will not play in Náutico: Paulo Sergio (Inactive)

There will not play in Goiás: Cadu (Injury) Gege (Injury) Tadeu (Inactive)

There are questionable in Náutico: Junior Todinho (Inactive)

There are questionable in Goiás: Lourenco (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Nautico: 0.3% Goias: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45
13	Nautico	31	11	9	11	39:38	1	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
20.06.26	Vila Nova - Náutico Capibaribe	4:3 ✺
14.06.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
09.06.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
21.06.26	Goiás - Operário Ferroviario	0:3 ✺
14.06.26	Athletic Club - Goiás	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Goiás - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:4 ✺
30.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Avaí - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.10.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Goiás	3:2
09.07.21	Goiás - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1
06.10.17	Goiás - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
20.06.17	Náutico Capibaribe - Goiás	2:3
08.11.16	Náutico Capibaribe - Goiás	1:0
16.07.16	Goiás - Náutico Capibaribe	4:2
Brazilian Serie A
27.10.13	Náutico Capibaribe - Goiás	0:2

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