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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 40.1%
Draw 31.1%
Náutico Capibaribe 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
35%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
34.6%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
30%
0%
Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Recife (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Recife (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 13. Madson 5. Benevenuto (C) 4. Ze Marcos 96. Edson Lucas 6. Biel Fonseca 58. Ze Lucas 30. Chrystian Barletta 7. Yago Felipe 25. Clayson 9. Pedro Perotti
1. Muriel Becker (C) 93. Reginaldo 25. Mateus Silva 3. Betao 23. Igor Fernandes 27. Luiz Felipe 19. Leonai Souza 7. Vinicius 10. Dodo 11. Victor Andrade 9. Paulo Sergio
Substitutes
68. Augusto 10. de Pena Carlos 47. Fabio Matheus 11. Gustavo Maia 28. Habraao 1. Halls (G) 95. Iury Castilho 3. Marcelo Ajul 8. Max Alves 77. Micael 48. Pedro Martins 23. Ze Gabriel
2. Arnaldo 5. Auremir 72. Derek 30. Felipe Cardoso 55. Guruceaga G. (G) 29. Junior Todinho 14. Matheus Ribeiro 40. Ramon 41. Samuel Felix 22. Vitinho 34. Wanderson 6. Yuri
Coaches
Azevedo M.
Helio dos Anjos
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Yago Felipe 🟨,
23', Victor Andrade 🟨,
26', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Chrystian Barletta (Penalty Awarded),
35', Ze Marcos 🟨,
45', Clayson ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Ze Lucas 🟨,
52', Paulo Sergio 🟨,
62', Yago Felipe ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
64', Iury Castilho 🟨,
67', Reginaldo ↓, Arnaldo ↑,
67', Betao ↓, Yuri ↑,
67', Paulo Sergio ↓, Junior Todinho ↑,
76', Leonai Souza ↓, Vitinho ↑,
78', Pedro Perotti ↓, Fabio Matheus ↑,
79', Ze Lucas ↓, de Pena Carlos ↑,
79', Biel Fonseca ↓, Ze Gabriel ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ⚽, de Pena Carlos (A),
84', Victor Andrade ↓, Derek ↑,
86', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
Recife has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Náutico is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recife is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Recife: Felipinho
(Yellow Cards)
Ze Roberto
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Náutico: Juninho
(Injury)
Wenderson
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Náutico: Derek
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Recife won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
Brazil
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