Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 7

Date: 6 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)


	Náutico Capibaribe		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.88	3	4.1
	1.85	3.29	4.54
	1.83	3	4
	1.81	3.35	4.25	Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.94)	3.17 ↓ (3.24)	4.09 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
49.1%

Draw
28.7%

Volta Redonda
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Náutico Capibaribe - Volta Redonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 3. Danilo Cardoso 14. Denilson 6. Diego Matos 7. Gabriel Santiago 99. Jael 5. Jean Mangabeira 11. Paul Villero 13. Rennan Siqueira 8. Souza 4. Victor Ferraz	12. Jean Drosny (G) 17. de Souza Silva J. C. 16. Douglas Skilo 21. Henrique Silva 9. Italo Carvalho 4. Marcao 18. Marquinhos 3. Matheus Santos 6. Ricardo Sena 8. Robinho 2. Wellington Silva (C)
Substitutes
16. Alisson Santos 12. Bruno Lopes (G) 17. Diego Ferreira 20. Eduardo 22. Juan Gauto 9. Julio Rodrigues 10. Matheus Carvalho . Odivan 18. Regis 19. Richarles 23. Thiaguinho 15. Wesley	31. Avelino (G) 5. Bruno Barra 27. Iury 11. Luizinho 19. Macario 14. Marco Gabriel 23. Marcos Pedro 10. Matheus Alessandro 13. Michel 7. Samuel Granada

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 16).

Náutico is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Volta Redonda is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Náutico is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
03.06.23	Pouso Alegre - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - América RN	0:0 ✺
22.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Floresta	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Aparecidense - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0 ✺
06.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWLW
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
03.06.23	Manaus - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	3:0 ✺
21.05.23	Volta Redonda - América RN	3:0 ✺
14.05.23	Brusque - Volta Redonda	3:2 ✺
06.05.23	Floresta - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL

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