Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Náxara		Real Sociedad C

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.15
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.32	2.97	2.29
	3.32	2.94	2.29
	3.26	3.05	2.14
	3.35	2.95	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (4.6)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	2.22 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
28%

Draw
30.7%

Real Sociedad C
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

28.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

27.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náxara's performance.

Real Sociedad C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náxara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Náxara - Real Sociedad C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Náxara has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Sociedad C is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Náxara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Sociedad C is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Real Sociedad C to win the game is with odds 1.93.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Náxara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Náxara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Náxara - Melilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.10.23	Utebo - Náxara	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	Tudelano - Náxara	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Náxara - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Barakaldo - Náxara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.10.23	Real Sociedad C - Tudelano	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Calahorra - Real Sociedad C	0:2 ✺
14.10.23	Real Sociedad C - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Sociedad C	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Real Sociedad C - San Juan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.03.22	Náxara - Real Sociedad C	1:1
07.11.21	Real Sociedad C - Náxara	3:2

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