Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Barakaldo		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.2	6.5
	1.4	4.5	7	Watch
	1.4	4.27	7.74
	1.36	4.33	7.4
	1.39	4.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)	4.32 ↑ (3.73)	7.09 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
65.9%

Draw
21.2%

Náxara
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

24.8%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barakaldo's performance.

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barakaldo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Barakaldo - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Barakaldo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Náxara has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Náxara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barakaldo is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.10.23	Tudelano - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Barakaldo - Calahorra	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Utebo - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Barakaldo - San Juan	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTTTW
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.10.23	Náxara - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	San Juan - Náxara	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Náxara - Mutilvera	0:1 ✺
10.09.23	Zaragoza B - Náxara	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Náxara - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL

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