Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Náxara		Tudelano

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.15	2.78
	2.63	3.29	2.68
	2.36	3.29	2.79	Watch
	2.47	3.13	2.59
	2.45	3.25	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (3.25)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	2.7 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Náxara
37.6%

Draw
28.5%

Tudelano
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náxara's performance.

Tudelano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tudelano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náxara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tudelano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Náxara - Tudelano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Alayeto I. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Alayeto I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Náxara is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tudelano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Náxara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Náxara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Náxara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tudelano	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.02.26	Náxara - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Utebo - Náxara	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Náxara - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Ebro - Náxara	4:1 ✺
11.01.26	Náxara - Mutilvera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWLL
- CD Tudelano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.02.26	Tudelano - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Eibar B - Tudelano	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Tudelano - Sestao	5:1 ✺
18.01.26	Mutilvera - Tudelano	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Tudelano - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.11.25	Tudelano - Náxara	2:1
03.03.24	Náxara - Tudelano	1:0
22.10.23	Tudelano - Náxara	2:0
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Náxara - Tudelano	1:0

Upcoming Matches