Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Tudelano		Sestao

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.88	2.45
	3.02	2.73	2.66
	2.92	2.8	2.58	Watch
	2.9	2.63	2.6
	2.86	2.72	2.54
	2.83	2.9	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.34)	2.78 ↓ (3.1)	2.56 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tudelano
31.5%

Draw
32.8%

Sestao
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

29.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tudelano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tudelano's form might have worsened.

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tudelano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Tudelano - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Alayeto I. ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, Alayeto I. ⚽,
36', 4 - 0, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 4 - 1, Garcia I. ⚽,
73', 5 - 1, Aparicio D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tudelano won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tudelano	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Sestao - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.04%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tudelano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Mutilvera - Tudelano	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Tudelano - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Ebro - Tudelano	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Ejea - Tudelano	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Tudelano - Basconia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTWL
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Sestao - Ejea	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Zaragoza B - Sestao	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Basconia - Sestao	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Sestao - Gernika	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.10.25	Sestao - Tudelano	1:2
07.05.23	Tudelano - Sestao	0:0
08.01.23	Sestao - Tudelano	2:0
11.01.15	Tudelano - Sestao	2:1
24.08.14	Sestao - Tudelano	2:1
12.01.14	Sestao - Tudelano	1:1
01.09.13	Tudelano - Sestao	1:0

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