Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 15

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Náxara		Varea

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.9
	1.77	3.1	3.8
	1.77	3.25	3.85
	1.82	3.29	3.85
	1.75	3.56	4.05
	1.85	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.98)	3.32 ↑ (3.23)	3.87 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
49.9%

Draw
26.9%

Varea
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

28.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Náxara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varea is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Náxara will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Náxara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
18.12.22	Calahorra B - Náxara	3:3 ✺
07.12.22	Náxara - Comillas	3:0 ✺
04.12.22	Oyonesa - Náxara	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Náxara - Vianés	1:3 ✺
19.11.22	Yagüe - Náxara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTLL
- CD Varea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
18.12.22	Varea - Berceo	4:1 ✺
11.12.22	Varea - Calahorra B	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	River Ebro - Varea	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Varea - Comillas	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Racing Rioja B - Varea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.09.19	Varea - Náxara	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.04.18	Varea - Náxara	2:1

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