Match Info

FINLAND: KAKKONEN GROUP C

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	Närpes		OLS

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.75	1.51	Watch
	5.65	4.94	1.47
	6	5	1.36
	5.2	4.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↑ (4.4)	4.82 ↑ (4.5)	1.45 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Närpes
17.1%

Draw
19.1%

OLS
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

20.5%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

20%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Närpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

OLS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OLS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OLS than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Närpes - OLS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Bjorkqvist T. 2. Hammarstrom O. 29. Hytonen T. 13. Ibric N. 9. Isanovic S. 22. Larka A. 1. Maloney J. 5. Pendek I. 4. Peth K. (C) 30. Storfors K. 15. Velic A.	27. Kaikkonen N. (G) 43. Bulgakov D. 2. Collin E. 26. Ikonen L. 28. Kekonen N. 48. Kemila K. 51. Kemppainen J. (C) 60. Makarainen H. 47. Raittinen E. 45. Saarikoski V. 25. Taskila E.
Substitutes
3. Abonde J. 23. Fadul S. 31. Norrgard J. (G) 8. Sigg L. 18. Westerholm A. 24. Zakaria S.	54. Kantola E. 38. Merikanto E. 57. Palviainen A. (G) 31. Sarkkinen N. 41. Seppanen S. 42. Tiainen L.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Play Offs (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Närpes won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Närpes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match OLS is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Närpes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Närpes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
16.09.23	JBK - Närpes	1:3 ✺
10.09.23	Närpes - Kuopion Elo	4:0 ✺
02.09.23	JS Hercules - Närpes	2:0 ✺
25.08.23	GBK Kokkola - Närpes	2:2 ✺
20.08.23	Närpes - RoPS	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLTL
- OLS Oulu
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
16.09.23	OLS - RoPS	5:2 ✺
09.09.23	Vaajakoski - OLS	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	OLS - TP-47	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	KuPS Akatemia - OLS	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	OLS - OTP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
22.04.23	OLS - Närpes	1:1
30.07.22	OLS - Närpes	3:0
15.05.22	Närpes - OLS	1:1
08.08.21	OLS - Närpes	3:0
23.05.21	Närpes - OLS	4:1
25.08.18	OLS - Närpes	3:1
10.06.18	Närpes - OLS	0:1

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