Match Info

Kakkonen Group C

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Mosedal (Närpiö)


	Närpes		SJK Akatemia 2

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.7	2.5
	2.71	4.48	2.06
				Watch
	2.2	3.8	2.5
	2.49	4.25	2.21
	2.15	4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.2)	4.05 ↑ (3.75)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Närpes
38.8%

Draw
22.5%

SJK Akatemia 2
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

23.8%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

22.8%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Närpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

SJK Akatemia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

The ML Model estimate for Närpes aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK Akatemia 2 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Närpes - SJK Akatemia 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Närpes will win (votes: 2 - 40%). SJK Akatemia 2 will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SJK Akatemia 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - SJK Akatemia 2 (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. SJK Akatemia 2 (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson Z. (G) 5. Badnjevic R. 20. Bergvik V. 13. Ibric N. (C) 7. Kalabic A. 10. Kronholm A. 3. Laine H. 16. Palic M. 6. Sifet B. 30. Skogman E. 11. Sparv A.	77. Kivela A. (C) 23. Abdu M. 30. Chinedu U. 6. Etelaaho O. 17. Korsunov S. 70. Kuusisto L. 31. Mustonen T. 72. Nikkila J. 43. Raiski O. 11. Rantasalmi N. 27. Rintamaki L.
Substitutes
31. Eriksson K. (G) 27. Juslin F. 4. Lo Giudice G. 23. Nordberg O. 12. Norrgard J. (G) 19. Pomba L. 17. Velic A. 18. Westerholm A.	4. Aaltonen A. 60. Heinamaki A. (G) 33. Honkola H. 76. Piiroinen A. 28. Tervaniemi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Rantasalmi N. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Sparv A. ⚽,
12', 2 - 1, Kalabic A. ⚽,
31', 2 - 2, Chinedu U. ⚽,
45', Laine H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Sparv A. ↓, Pomba L. ↑,
74', Palic M. 🟨,
78', 2 - 3, Chinedu U. ⚽,
79', Kalabic A. ↓, Westerholm A. ↑,
80', Abdu M. ↓, Aaltonen A. ↑,
81', Korsunov S. ↓, Piiroinen A. ↑,
86', Rantasalmi N. ↓, Tervaniemi A. ↑,
88', Skogman E. ↓, Lo Giudice G. ↑,
88', Palic M. ↓, Nordberg O. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ))

Recent performances by Närpes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SJK Akatemia 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Närpes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Närpes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 2.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Närpes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
18.06.25	JS Hercules - Närpes	2:3 ✺
12.06.25	Närpes - VPS 2	2:2 ✺
08.06.25	TP-47 - Närpes	1:0 ✺
29.05.25	Närpes - Kuopion Elo	Canceled ✺
24.05.25	OsPa - Närpes	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTL?L
- SJK Akatemia 2
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
19.06.25	SJK Akatemia 2 - VPS 2	5:2 ✺
15.06.25	SJK Akatemia 2 - JBK	1:3 ✺
06.06.25	VPS 2 - SJK Akatemia 2	4:0 ✺
01.06.25	SJK Akatemia 2 - OsPa	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	VIFK - SJK Akatemia 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
19.04.25	SJK Akatemia 2 - Närpes	2:1
25.08.24	Närpes - SJK Akatemia 2	1:2
10.08.24	Närpes - SJK Akatemia 2	4:2
08.06.24	SJK Akatemia 2 - Närpes	2:3

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