Match Info

Kakkonen Group C

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Oulu-lehti Areena (Oulu)


	OsPa		Närpes

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.1	3.75
	1.62	4.55	4.05
	1.62	4.71	3.91
	1.6	4.72	3.99	Watch
	1.59	4.45	4.39
	1.62	4.55	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.98)	4.51 ↑ (4.29)	4.02 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OsPa
56.9%

Draw
20.3%

Närpes
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

21.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

20.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OsPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in OsPa's performance.

Närpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Närpes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OsPa than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with OsPa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Närpes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

OsPa - Närpes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jarvinen E. (G) 5. Edeh C. 14. Evo K. 6. Flygare K. 13. Karsama J. 15. Nwachukwu S. 11. Piirto L. (C) 21. Raisanen A. 4. Ridanpaa T. 25. Tervaoja S. 9. Yllasjarvi P.	1. Eriksson Z. (G) 5. Badnjevic R. 2. Hammarstrom O. 13. Ibric N. 9. Isanovic S. (C) 7. Kalabic A. 10. Kronholm A. 22. Larka A. 16. Palic M. 6. Sifet B. 30. Skogman E.
Substitutes
30. Fyrsten M. (G) 20. Lamsa O. 23. Lindroth E. 7. Yliheikkila P.	20. Bergvik V. 27. Juslin F. 3. Laine H. 31. Norrgard J. (G) 18. Westerholm A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Isanovic S. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Hammarstrom O. ⚽,
17', 1 - 2, Evo K. ⚽,
30', 1 - 3, Isanovic S. ⚽,
37', 2 - 3, Evo K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nwachukwu S. ↓, Lindroth E. ↑,
46', Tervaoja S. ↓, Yliheikkila P. ↑,
53', Yliheikkila P. 🟨,
54', Hammarstrom O. ↓, Bergvik V. ↑,
58', Ibric N. 🟨,
61', Palic M. ↓, Juslin F. ↑,
66', 3 - 3, Yllasjarvi P. ⚽,
71', 4 - 3, Edeh C. ⚽,
76', Bergvik V. 🟨,
89', Edeh C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: )).

OsPa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Närpes's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, OsPa is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oulunsalon Pallo
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
17.05.25	OsPa - VPS 2	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Kuopion Elo - OsPa	2:4 ✺
02.05.25	OsPa - GBK Kokkola	6:1 ✺
27.04.25	JBK - OsPa	3:2 ✺
17.04.25	OsPa - TP-47	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLT
- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
18.05.25	Närpes - VIFK	3:1 ✺
12.05.25	JBK - Närpes	4:1 ✺
03.05.25	Närpes - JS Hercules	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	GBK Kokkola - Närpes	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	SJK Akatemia 2 - Närpes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLTL

OsPa - Närpes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide