The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Närpes 35.5%
Draw 20.7%
VPS 2 43.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.8%
20.3%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
19.8%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Närpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Närpes's performance.
VPS 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VPS 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Närpes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VPS 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VPS 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Närpes - VPS 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Norrgard J. (G) 17. Etoka L. 13. Ibric N. 9. Isanovic S. 10. Kadic B. (C) 7. Kalabic A. 3. Laine H. 15. Onyeaghala F. 23. Pimentel L. 30. Skogman E. 11. Wulff W.
1. Haavisto R. (C) 24. Ajak T. 14. Ala-Heikkila I. 4. Berts W. 10. Karlsson H. 34. Matilainen A. 6. Piiroinen L. 29. Rajalahti A. 28. Rantamaki T. 37. Somppi J. 21. Wik A.
Substitutes
4. Abonde J. 5. Badnjevic R. 20. Bergvik V. 21. Chidobe O. 1. Eriksson Z. (G) 14. Krak E. 6. Sifet B. 24. Strand C. 18. Westerholm A.
7. Autio L. 41. Jokinen J. (G) 25. Mohamed E. 15. Monola E. 31. Myntti A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Isanovic S. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Ibric N. ⚽,
23', 🟨,
26', Kadic B. 🟨,
32', 3 - 0, Kalabic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Rajalahti A. ↓, Mohamed E. ↑,
55', 4 - 0, Isanovic S. ⚽,
57', 5 - 0, Pimentel L. ⚽,
58', Karlsson H. ↓, Autio L. ↑,
61', Pimentel L. ↓, Badnjevic R. ↑,
62', Skogman E. ↓, Abonde J. ↑,
63', 6 - 0, Isanovic S. ⚽,
69', 7 - 0, Isanovic S. ⚽,
71', Somppi J. ↓, Monola E. ↑,
72', Ajak T. ↓, Myntti A. ↑,
72', Etoka L. ↓, Westerholm A. ↑,
72', Kalabic A. ↓, Sifet B. ↑,
82', Onyeaghala F. ↓, Bergvik V. ↑,
Preview
Närpes is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by VPS 2 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Närpes has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Närpes has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:17 (averaging 1.4:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Närpes against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:4 goals (averaging 2.5:2 per game).
Finland
Watch
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Norrgard J. (G) 
Ibric N. 
Onyeaghala F. 
Berts W. 
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