Match Info

Kakkonen Group C - Winners stage

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mosedal (Närpiö)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Närpes		Jaro 2

	1	X	2
	1.52	5.00	3.90
	1.60	5.04	4.20
	1.53	5.59	3.82	Watch
	1.51	4.50	4.50
	1.54	5.21	4.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.77)	5.07 ↑ (4.3)	4.16 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Närpes
59.7%

Draw
18.1%

Jaro 2
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

21.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

18%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Närpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Närpes's performance.

Jaro 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Närpes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaro 2 than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaro 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Närpes - Jaro 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.25 - over (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kaarre M. (G) 4. Abonde J. 5. Badnjevic R. 20. Bergvik V. 21. Chidobe O. 9. Isanovic S. (C) 10. Kadic B. 7. Kalabic A. 3. Laine H. 23. Pimentel L. 24. Strand C.	12. Snellman J. (G) 8. Finell E. 66. Grannas D. 5. Gripenberg I. 25. Holmang E. 2. Kass F. 70. Laakso J. 6. Lofs V. 21. Sandstedt A. 23. Soderstrom T. 27. Vikstrom J.
Substitutes
8. Avdili A. 1. Eriksson Z. (G) 17. Etoka L. 14. Krak E. 29. Onyeaghala F. 18. Westerholm A. 11. Wulff W.	31. Finell A. (G) 18. Gaddnas K. 15. Kass T. 16. Rutayisire T. 3. Stenman T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Kadic B. 🟨,
40', Kass F. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Isanovic S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Avdili A. ↓, Etoka L. ↑,
58', Grannas D. ↓, Gaddnas K. ↑,
65', Laine H. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Vikstrom J. ⚽,
68', Laine H. ↓, Abonde J. ↑,
68', Kadic B. ↓, Onyeaghala F. ↑,
69', Kalabic A. 🟨,
71', Gaddnas K. 🟨,
75', Onyeaghala F. 🟨,
78', Finell E. ↓, Rutayisire T. ↑,
80', Strand C. ↓, Westerholm A. ↑,
84', Etoka L. 🟨,
86', Lofs V. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Isanovic S. ⚽,

Preview

Närpes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jaro 2 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Närpes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Närpes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 6.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Närpes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
28.08.26	JBK - Närpes	5:0 ✺
22.08.26	Huima Urho - Närpes	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	TP-47 - Närpes	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Närpes - JS Hercules	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Närpes - Vaajakoski	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Jaro 2
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
28.08.26	GBK Kokkola - Jaro 2	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	JS Hercules - Jaro 2	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Jaro 2 - Huima Urho	2:6 ✺
07.08.26	Jaro 2 - JBK	1:3 ✺
03.08.26	VPS 2 - Jaro 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
04.07.26	Närpes - Jaro 2	8:0
17.04.26	Jaro 2 - Närpes	6:5

Närpes - Jaro 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide