The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nîmes 27.4%
Draw 28.4%
Bordeaux 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
27.6%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
27.4%
46.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
15%
60%
Nîmes - Bordeaux Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Bordeaux will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 38.5% – 81.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (10.89%), has project points - 42, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bordeaux has the most likely position - 1 (38.44%), has project points - 71, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (60%), has a chance of win league (38%).
This event has quality36, importance58, match rating47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Nîmes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bordeaux is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Bordeaux will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.