Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bastia		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2	Watch
	3.6	3.3	2
	3.6	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.79	3.45	2.1
	3.79	3.39	2.1
	3.5	3.3	2
	3.66	3.46	2	Watch
	3.55	3.35	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.03)	3.37 ↑ (3.23)	2.04 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
25.9%

Draw
27.9%

Bordeaux
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.2%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

29.4%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bastia's form might have worsened.

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bordeaux's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bordeaux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	15.4%	46.2%

Bastia - Bordeaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Bordeaux will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 15. Bohnert F. 4. Roncaglia A. 95. Keita C. 99. Okou Y. 11. Lienard D. 7. Vincent C. (C) 13. Ducrocq T. 66. Janneh J. 10. Alfarela M. 9. Santelli B.	1. Johnsson K. (G) 34. Michelin C. 4. Bokele M. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 14. Nsimba V. 10. Weissbeck G. 72. Cassubie Y. 20. Diaz P. 81. De Lima M. 30. Davitashvili Z. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Substitutes
39. Djoco K. 23. Fabri J. (G) 91. Lega S. 42. Tavares D. 18. Tomi F. 22. Traore C. 27. Yapi R.	77. Badji A. 19. Ekomie J. 6. Ignatenko D. 7. Livolant J. 11. Pitu A. 8. Sissokho I. 13. Straczek R. (G)
Coaches
Brouard R.	Riera A.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 0.

Recent matches Bastia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bordeaux is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bordeaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
28.10.23	Bastia - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Rodez - Bastia	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Bastia - Annecy	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Ajaccio - Bastia	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Bastia - Pau	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWLL
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
28.10.23	Bordeaux - Rodez	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Angers - Bordeaux	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Bordeaux - Laval	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Bordeaux - Caen	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Grenoble - Bordeaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.04.23	Bordeaux - Bastia	2:0
17.10.22	Bastia - Bordeaux	1:1
French Ligue 1
22.04.17	Bordeaux - Bastia	2:0
30.11.16	Bastia - Bordeaux	1:1
20.03.16	Bordeaux - Bastia	1:1
02.12.15	Bastia - Bordeaux	1:0
24.01.15	Bastia - Bordeaux	0:0

Bastia - Bordeaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide