Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Referee: Legat P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports
Turkey	beIN Sports 2 MAX


	Bordeaux		Metz

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2	3.25	3.6
	2.1	3.2	3.45
	2.02	3.25	3.5
	2.06	3.44	3.87
	2.05	3.2	3.6	Watch
	1.99	3.5	3.66	Watch
	2.02	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.19)	3.32 ↑ (3.13)	3.59 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Canada

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
45.9%

Draw
28.1%

Metz
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	16.7%	13.3%

Bordeaux - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Metz will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 1 (26.56%), has project points - 69, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (46%), has a chance of win league (27%).

Metz has the most likely position - 6 (8.35%), has project points - 58, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has quality 44, importance 56, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 2.

Bordeaux is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Metz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bordeaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
03.10.22	Laval - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
17.09.22	Bordeaux - Dijon	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Paris FC - Bordeaux	1:3 ✺
30.08.22	Bordeaux - Quevilly	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
01.10.22	Metz - Pau	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Bastia - Metz	1:0 ✺
12.09.22	Metz - Guingamp	3:6 ✺
02.09.22	Metz - Annecy	0:0 ✺
30.08.22	Rodez - Metz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.04.22	Bordeaux - Metz	3:1
21.11.21	Metz - Bordeaux	3:3
27.02.21	Bordeaux - Metz	1:2
06.01.21	Metz - Bordeaux	0:0
08.02.20	Metz - Bordeaux	1:2
14.09.19	Bordeaux - Metz	2:0
19.05.18	Metz - Bordeaux	0:4

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