The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nîmes 36.8%
Draw 32.4%
Grenoble 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
33.1%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
32.3%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nîmes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Nîmes - Grenoble Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Grenoble will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30% – 70%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 and 7).
Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (14.41%), has project points - 43, has currently - 22, has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Grenoble has the most likely position - 6 (11.22%), has project points - 56, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality31, importance33, match rating32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Nîmes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Grenoble is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Grenoble could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.